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Backtesting

Definition of Backtesting

Backtesting means simulating trading strategies and models using historical data to understand whether they are effective.

In many ways, backtesting is considered to be an important part of crafting trading strategies that work.

If backtesting leads to positive results, then the trading strategy or model may be viable.

Related Terms

Fibonacci Retracement

A Fibonacci Retracement is a predictive technical indicator that is used to determine possible direction or trend reversal of a stock or index’s price with horizontal lines for potential support as well as resistance levels.

Fibonacci retracement in action

The logic behind tuning to a Fibonacci Retracement is the assumption that prices will reverse direction towards a previous price-level, especially after a new trend is in motion.

Cash Contract

A cash contract is an agreement between two parties in which the delivery of goods is involved at a predetermined price and date. Typically, bulk buyers like big companies enter into cash contracts on the spot price of a commodity.

These companies aren’t in the business of speculation. As a result, the delivery of goods is always involved in cash contracts, unlike futures where the contract can be settled with cash without taking delivery.

Follow On Public Offer

A Follow On Public Offer or FPO allows a publicly traded company to issue more stock to public investors. FPOs are similar to IPOs because FPOs allow companies to raise additional capital through the public market.

For an FPO to be possible, a company must have already done an IPO. FPO shares are typically issued at a discount by a company whose track record is already clear because they are publicly traded.

Donchian Channels

A Donchian Channel is the area between upper (highest price) and lower (lowest price) bands formed around the median as a result of calculating the moving average of a security’s price over a period of time. Visually, the Donchian Channel will have three lines.

Equity

Equity is generally defined as a stake or per share ownership in a company. That's why stocks are often called equity or equities. In the broader markets, equity is also used to refer to the total amount of money shareholders stand to get in case a company is liquidated.

Bonds

Bonds are fixed income securities issued in exchange for a loan, generally by governments and corporations. A bond will generate a fixed interest rate on top of the principal across a fixed time period. A bond market is a place where bonds are issued, bought, and sold. Bonds are issued in exchange for a loan generally by governments and corporations.

The quality of a bond can be understood by its credit rating, which is nothing but the creditworthiness of the company issuing it. The best bonds in India are known to have the following credit rating:

  • SOV: Only for government bonds
  • AAA: Highest
  • AA+: High-medium
  • A+: Upper-medium
  • BBB+: Lower-medium
  • BB+: Speculative
  • B+: Highlight speculative
  • CCC+: Risky
  • CC: Extremely risky



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